Tuesday, October 28, 2008

"Tightening" - It Means Not Tightening

Michael Shearer at Swampland rounds up the opinions of some poll-watchers who believe that the race isn't tightening, it's merely no longer accelerating toward an even bigger landslide.
Gallup also charts lots of horizontals, with maybe a slight uptick for Obama.

The RCP Electoral Map is basically flat as well, with a comfortable cushion for Obama.
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6 comments:

  1. AnonymousTuesday, October 28, 2008 8:14:00 PM

    Don't look now, but Gallup has the race at Obama +2.

    I guess that's not tightening now, is it?

    ReplyDelete
  2. piker62Tuesday, October 28, 2008 8:27:00 PM

    I guess it is, if you work at Gallup and you're only polling Likely Voters (traditional). Among Registered and Likely Voters (Expanded) Obama is up 7 points.

    However, there does seem to be a 2 point narrowing across the board. At Gallup, anyway. Now's the time for McCain to force them to release that L.A Times Video!

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousWednesday, October 29, 2008 6:48:00 AM

    Rasmussen: Obama +3

    ReplyDelete
  4. piker62Wednesday, October 29, 2008 7:36:00 AM

    Real Clear Politics: Obama +5.9
    Five Thirty Eight: Obama +5.6

    Five Thirty Eight electoral projection: Obama 348.2, McCain 189.8

    Or, playing by your rules: Pew: Obama, +15

    ReplyDelete
  5. AnonymousWednesday, October 29, 2008 8:07:00 AM

    Two days ago, RCP had Obama at 7.4%

    I know it's hard for you to fathom that the race might be tighter (there's that pesky word again!), but it is..

    ReplyDelete
  6. piker62Wednesday, October 29, 2008 9:03:00 AM

    okay, okay, it's tightening. As I predicted (quoted Obama predicting) a couple of weeks ago.

    ReplyDelete